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GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN THE UNITED STATES -- A STATE OF KNOWLEDGE REPORT FROM THE U.S. GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH PROGRAM

The full report can be found online at www.globalchange.gov/usimpacts

CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
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Cambridge University Press
32 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10013-2473, USA

www.cambridge.org
Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521144070

This report was produced by an advisory committee chartered under the Federal Advisory Committee Act, for the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, and at the request of the U.S. Government. Therefore, the report is in the public domain. Some materials used in the report are copyrighted and permission was granted to the U.S. government for their publication in this report. For subsequent uses that include such copyrighted materials, permission for reproduction must be sought from the copyright holder. In all cases, credit must be given for copyrighted materials.

First published 2009

Printed in the United States of America

A catalog record for this publication is available from the British Library.

ISBN 978-0-521-14407-0 paperback

Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party Internet Web sites referred to in this publication and does not guarantee that any content on such Web sites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. Information regarding prices, travel timetables, and other factual information given in this work are correct at the time of first printing, but Cambridge University Press does not guarantee the accuracy of such information thereafter.

Recommended Citation:

Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States, Thomas R. Karl, Jerry M. Melillo, and Thomas C. Peterson,
(eds.). Cambridge University Press, 2009.

The bars at the bottom of the front cover show the global annual average temperature from 1900-2008, see page 17.

Federal Advisory Committee Authors

Co-Chairs and Editors-in-Chief

Thomas R. Karl,
NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Jerry M. Melillo,
Marine Biological Laboratory

Thomas C. Peterson,
NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Author Team

David M. Anderson,
NOAA World Data Center for Paleoclimatology

Donald F. Boesch,
University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science

Virginia R. Burkett,
U.S. Geological Survey

Lynne M. Carter,
Adaptation Network

Stewart J. Cohen,
Environment Canada and University of British Columbia

Nancy B. Grimm,
Arizona State University

Jerry L. Hatfield,
U.S. Department of Agriculture

Katharine Hayhoe,
Texas Tech University

Anthony C. Janetos,
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Jack A. Kaye,
National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Jay H. Lawrimore,
NOAA National Climatic Data Center

James J. McCarthy,
Harvard University

A. David McGuire,
U.S. Geological Survey/University of Alaska Fairbanks

Edward L. Miles,
University of Washington

Evan Mills,
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Jonathan T. Overpeck,
University of Arizona

Jonathan A. Patz,
University of Wisconsin at Madison

Roger S. Pulwarty,
NOAA Climate Program Office and Earth System Research Laboratory

Benjamin D. Santer,
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Michael J. Savonis,
U.S. Department of Transportation

H. Gerry Schwartz, Jr.,
Consultant/Transportation

Eileen L. Shea,
NOAA National Climatic Data Center/Integrated Data and Environmental Applications Center

John M.R. Stone,
Carleton University

Bradley H. Udall,
University of Colorado/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

John E. Walsh,
University of Alaska Fairbanks

Michael F. Wehner,
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Thomas J. Wilbanks,
Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Donald J. Wuebbles,
University of Illinois

Senior Science Writer and Lead Graphic Designer

Senior Science Writer

Susan J. Hassol,
Climate Communication, LLC

Lead Graphic Designer

Sara W. Veasey,
NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Key Support Personnel

Jessica Blunden, Editorial Assistant, STG, Inc.

Marta Darby, Copy Editor, STG, Inc.

David Dokken, CCSP Technical Advisor, USGCRP

Byron Gleason, Data Analysis/Visualization, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Glenn M. Hyatt, Graphics Support, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Clare Keating, Editorial Support, Texas Tech University

Staci Lewis, Technical Advisor, NOAA

Jolene McGill, Logistical Support, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Deborah J. Misch, Graphics Support, STG, Inc.

William Murray, Technical Support, STG, Inc.

Susan Osborne, Copy Editor, STG, Inc.

Tim Owen, Logistical Support, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Deborah Riddle, Graphics Support, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Susanne Skok, Copy Editor, STG, Inc.

Mara Sprain, Editorial Support, STG, Inc.

Michael Squires, Cartographic Support, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Jeff VanDorn, Technical and Graphics Support, ATMOS Research

David Wuertz, Data Analysis/Visualization, NOAA National Climatic Data Center

Christian Zamarra, Graphics Support, STG, Inc.

Federal Executive Team

Acting Director, U.S. Global Change Research Program: .....................................................................................Jack A. Kaye
Director, U.S. Global Change Research Program Office: ......................................................................................Peter A. Schultz
Lead Agency Principal Representative to CCSP (through January 2009),
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: .............................................................................................Mary M. Glackin
Lead Agency Principal Representative to CCSP,
Product Lead, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: .....................................................................Thomas R. Karl
Lead Agency Principal Representative to CCSP,
Group Chair Synthesis and Assessment Products, Environmental Protection Agency: .......................................Michael W. Slimak
Synthesis and Assessment Product Coordinator,
U.S. Global Change Research Program Office: ...............................................................................................Fabien J.G. Laurier
Communications Advisor/Coordinator/Editor,
U.S. Global Change Research Program Office: ......................................................................................................Anne M. Waple
Special Advisor, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: .................................................................Chad A. McNutt
Federal Advisory Committee Designated Federal Official,
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: ........................................................................................Christopher D. Miller

Reviewers

Blue Ribbon Reviewers

Robert W. Corell, Global Change Program, H. John Heinz III Center for Science, Economics and the Environment

Robert A. Duce, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M University

Kristie L. Ebi, Independent consultant, ESS, LLC Alexandria, VA

Christopher B. Field, Carnegie Institution

William H. Hooke, Atmospheric Policy Program, American Meteorological Society

Michael C. MacCracken, Climate Institute

Linda O. Mearns, Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research

Gerald A. Meehl, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research

John Reilly, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Susan Solomon, NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory

Steven C. Wofsy, Harvard University

Communication Reviewers

Robert Henson, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

Jack W. Williams, American Meteorological Society

This report on Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States was prepared in accordance with Section 515 of the Treasury and General Government Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 2001 (Public Law 106-554) and the information quality act guidelines issued by the Department of Commerce and NOAA pursuant to Section 515 .

June 2009

Members of Congress:

On behalf of the National Science and Technology Council, the U.S. Global Change Research Program is pleased to transmit to the President and the Congress this state of knowledge report: “Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States.” This report summarizes the science of climate change and the impacts of climate change on the United States, now and in the future.

As our nation strives to develop effective policies to respond to climate change, it is critical to have the latest and best scientific information to inform decision making. More than a year in the making, this report provides that information. It is the first report in almost a decade to provide an extensive evaluation of climate change impacts on the United States at the regional level.

An expert team of scientists operating under the authority of the Federal Advisory Committee Act, assisted by communication specialists, wrote the document. The report was reviewed and revised based on comments from experts and the public in accordance with the Information Quality Act guidelines issued by the Department of Commerce and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

We highly commend the authors and support personnel of both this report and the underlying Synthesis and Assessment Products for the outstanding quality of their work in providing sound and thorough science-based information for policy formulation and climate change research priority setting. We intend to use the essential information contained in this report as we make policies and decisions about the future, and we recommend others do the same.

Sincerely,

Dr. John Holdren
Director, Office of Science and Technology Policy

Dr. Jane Lubchenco
Administrator, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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